Answer:
If the garage is robbed, the probability the doors ware left open is 0.625.
Step-by-step explanation:
Denote the events as follows:
X = garage doors open
Y = something is stolen
The information provided is:
P (X) = 0.25
P (Y|X) = 0.05
P (Y|X') = 0.01
Compute probability that the garage is robbed as follows:
[tex]P(Y)=P(Y|X)P(X)+P(Y|X')P(X')\\\\=(0.05\times 0.25)+(0.01\times (1-0.25))\\\\=0.0125+0.0075\\\\=0.02[/tex]
Compute the probability the doors ware left open given that the garage is robbed as follows:
[tex]P(X|Y)=\frac{P(Y|X)P(X)}{P(Y)}\\\\=\frac{0.05\times 0.25}{0.02}\\\\=0.625[/tex]
Thus, if the garage is robbed, the probability the doors ware left open is 0.625.
